I am facing an issue " Denied connection per minute from one ip address" why this error occur and how to resolve it? is it really harmful for my TMG Server or not??

I am facing an issue " Denied connection per minute from one ip address" why this error occur and how to resolve it? is it really harmful for my TMG Server or not??
Error Description:
The number of denied connections from the source IP address 10.0.0.X exceeded the configured limit. This may indicate that the host is infected or is attempting an attack on the Forefront TMG computer. 
electrifying

Hi,
this may be a false/positive log record.
First check the services and applications on the effecting machine (NETSTAT -ANO) to see which connections the machine has established or tries to establish.
Check the machine against viruses and spyware.
if you don't find any viruses / spyware or "mysterious" connections, create a connection exception limit in the flood mitigation settings on your TMG Server:
http://www.isaserver.org/articles-tutorials/configuration-security/TMG-Firewall-Flood-Mitigation-Part1.html
regards Marc Grote aka Jens Baier - www.it-training-grote.de - www.forefront-tmg.de - www.galileocomputing.de/3276?GPP=MarcGrote

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    Hi,
    this may be a false/positive log record.
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