Broadcast Gradually Loses Quality

Copy and pasted from my topic on creativecow.net:
Hello everyone. My name is Danny, a Justin.TV broadcaster who goes by the name iMoogle. I recently bought a new computer along with an intensity pro, and have tested it using Adobe Flash Media Live Encoder (FMLE) to upload the stream to JTV. The video is perfectly fine for the first 7-8 minutes of intense action, but after that, many things start to happen:
- The video bitrate show in FMLE starts jumping from very low to very high bitrates, nowhere near the selected bitrate (700kbps). I've seen it jump from 50kbps to a whopping 2000kbps for unknown reasons. It's not very noticeable in the video, but an inconsistent bitrate can never be good. When it streams perfectly fine, it only jumps between the range of 650 and 750.
- The FPS starts to drop dramatically. From a very very steady 30FPS, then gradually down to 28, then 25, then 22, then if I choose to keep the broadcast on even longer, down to 10FPS! But I usually stop the broadcast after around 22 because the video becomes way too choppy for my viewers and I.
- The audio becomes out of sync, and gets more and more delayed the longer I let the FMLE stream to JTV.
Here are some videos of how good it is from the start, then how bad it gets in the end...
GoW2 (360) - http://www.justin.tv/clip/4983dc87147c9fbe **I cussed a bit in this highlight. Just a warning =P
CoD4 (360) - http://www.justin.tv/clip/910b1ec95d278003 **This is after 14 minutes of idling in the lobby.
The strange thing is, that if I stop FMLE, then start it again, it will stream perfectly fine for 7-8 minutes then it will show these symptoms again, gradually getting worse. My computer is pretty good, and my CPU usage never goes over 50% while broadcasting.
Intel Core 2 Quad Q9550
4GB of RAM
Geforce GTX 260
About 3.5 Mbps upload speed (doesn't matter what my FMLE settings are put to. Even if I have a stream of only a total of 400 kbps, the quality will die down after 7 minutes)
Update: Upgraded from Vista 32-bit to Windows 7 64-bit. Still no good.
I'm going to try broadcasting with my old Dazzle DVC100 capture card and see if FMLE does the same thing. Update: FMLE indeed does the same thing and lags the broadcast, even though it worked perfectly fine on my old computer with no lag whatsoever. This cancels out the possibility of a problem with the Intensity Pro capture card. There's something wrong with my computer but I can't pin it down.
Any help is appreciated. Thanks!

I watched your videos. At first look, the problem seems to be of insufficient bitrate and lack of CPU. But as you mentioned that your CPU usage never goes above 50%, cpu shouldn't be a problem. If the bitrate is insufficient you might observe choppyness in the video. When you say that the problem occurs after ~7min, do you encode the same thing everytime after 7min? I mean, as the complexity of the content increases vp6 codec will try to budget more bits for the content. If it is unable to do so, video quality will suffer. Please attach FMLE session log file of the choppy session. If you are creating a local flv file, please verify whether the problem exists in the file.

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