Forecast Model in Demand planning and  E book Sap trainingcourse

Dear Experts ,
I am Exploring differnt Forecast Model , like  constant
model, trend model, seasonal model, trend and seasonal model, Croston method
with exponential smoothing, linear regression, and causal models with multiple
linear regression (MLR).
is there any SAP links or material or course availabe to learn more about Forecasting Techniques that we can use in Demand Planning in APO
if you have idea please help me to learn .. i am really starving for this techniques
Thanks in advance
Cheers & Thanks
Raj

Hi Raj
Below link will give you entire information on forecasting models, forecasting accuracy technequues etc,:
http://help.sap.com/saphelp_apo/helpdata/en/33/437a37b70cf273e10000009b38f8cf/frameset.htm
For MLR refer the following link:
http://help.sap.com/saphelp_apo/helpdata/en/ac/216ba4337b11d398290000e8a49608/frameset.htm
Which is the best model to use:
You should try running forecasting using various model(seasonal, seasonal linear, linear, constant etc) and comapre
the forecast accuracy and find out which one is the best suitable.
Another way is to choose auto model which will select the best possible forecast strategy and give the result.
I hope thos will help you.
Please let us know if you require any more information.
Thanks
Amol

Similar Messages

  • Forecasting Models in Demand Planning.

    Hi experts,
    want to know in details and also to practice various forecasting models in Demand Planning, from beginning.
    please suggest.
    Regards
    Bhupendra

    Hi Bhupendra,
    There are various forecasting models to use in business like automatic model and manual model as a broad category. 
    In detailed, there are models like constant model, trend model, season models, trend seasonal etc.,
    Forecasting models are very simple and mostly based on STATISTICAL TECHNIQUES.  If you have sound knowledge in various statistical methodologies, it will be very easy to followup all the models.
    Moreover, while selecting the best model for an organisation, one needs to study and identify the key performance indicators for improvement and accordingly the forecast model needs to be aligned.
    The method to find this kind of model is the BEST FIT METHOD (it could be one or more or combo of it).
    In demo systems or sandbox system, you can populate various data with various models and try to analyse the one which satisfies business requirements. You can also take the help of BUSINESS PLANNING ANALYSER to build the customised forecasting model which can be part of business side or from consulting side.
    Regards
    R. Senthil Mareeswaran.

  • SAP ERP - Demand Planning and Forecasting

    Dear all,
       my customer is a wholesale company. They want to use a component in SAP ERP (not SAP APO), in order to make demanding planning and forecasting for the materials , quantities and dates they should make the purchases in order to cover the demand of their customers. What is the component that should be used in order to achieve this?

    MRP can be used without production planning. SOP and Demand Management are not Production.
    Nevetheless, if you want a simpler planning cycle, provided that you understand its ads and cons, you could go for Consumption Based Planning MRP.
    See this link for details:
    http://help.sap.com/saphelp_erp60_sp/helpdata/en/7d/c2821c454011d182b40000e829fbfe/frameset.htm
    Mario

  • Spare parts Demand Planning and Forecasting SCM

    Hi ,
    I am APO DP consultant can any body help me on questions on AS-IS and To-Be analysis Of Spare Parts Demand Planning and forecasting in SAP SCM.
    If You have any Documents or links or nay information on these please give replay.
    Ram

    Dear Ram..
    SPP is purely base on BOD (Bill of Distribution)..
    following are the points u can cover in AS is TOBE..
    1. On what Level (Chs) the Client performing Spare Parts Planning?nd how u want to disagreegate on lowest level ie.Hierarchy Level?
    Ex. from Region..to Branch..to ..Customer..
    2. Have u configured Spare Parts in R/3?
    3. What is the Pattern of Sales History?Seasonal/Trend/Constant  etc?
    4. u can ask questions on Deployment...Inventory?
    5. What is the Lead Time for Procurement?Distribution?Transportation?
    for more details...
    http://help.sap.com/saphelp_scm50/helpdata/en/a3/7ed240caeb752ae10000000a155106/frameset.htm
    Rajesh Patil
    SPINNOVATION

  • What is demand planning and shop floor plannig, explain briefly?

    I like to know and understand about demand planning and shop floor plaining? please explain briefly?
    Thank you,
    york

    Hi Les,
    <b>Demand Planning</b> is
    Application component in the Advanced Planner and Optimizer (APO) that allows you to forecast market demand for your company's products and produce a demand plan.
    APO Demand Planning has a data mart in which you store and maintain the information necessary for the demand planning process in your company. Using this information along with user-defined planning layouts and interactive planning books, you can integrate people from different departments into the forecasting process. The APO DP library of statistical forecasting and advanced macro techniques allows you to create forecasts based on demand history as well as any number of causal factors, and use a consensus-based approach to consolidate the results. Marketing intelligence and management adjustments can be added by using forecast overrides and promotions. The seamless integration with APO Supply Network Planning supports an efficient S&OP process.
    regards
    kp

  • Handling Planned order created from Demand planning and Sales order in MTO

    Hi all
    In MTO\ Repetitive we genrate Dependent requirement from demand planning (PIR) after running MRP which finally planned order created but on the other hand in short term we have Sales order which generate planned order after running MRP(In MTO), How we should handle planned order generated from Demand planning and the ones generated from sales order.(both after MRP Running).
    Regards
    Babak Bolourchi

    Dear,
    You can combine the planning strategy also main as 56 and second as 65 and in demand managment MD61 you have the option select requirement type.
    Then while creating sales order use MTO strategy and take MRP run through MD50 and then MD02.
    and if you want to assign the stock to sales order then you and do it through MB1b with 412 E movement type.
    As per my knowledge, generally 56 strategy only takes Sales Order Stock into consideration.
    Consider setting the Individual/Collective indicator to 2.
    Mark those characteristics that should have a usage probability in demand management as Relevant for planning.
    Hope clear to you.
    Regards,
    R.Brahmankar

  • Demand Planning and eSOA

    I am an SCM consultant, with particular interest in Demand Planning.
    I am experienced with SAP APO, but am now interested in how the emerging eSOA environment can help with Demand Planning solutions.
    Can anyone share thoughts/experiences of how web services in general and SAP eSOA in particular can provide 'added value' to Demand Planning?
    Thanks,
    Bob Austin, Atos Origin

    Generally speaking, the demand plan or forecast is ultimately the "image" of the demand side that the supply side wishes to "mirror" or fulfill against. This view is a consolidation of many views from several players on the demand side -- whose input is provided to a much smaller group of planner-users of the Demand Planning tool.
    What eSOA does is to essentially extend the Demand Planning process to this larger audience via a number of means:
    The new Duet/Excel capability is one example of this extensibility. Think of all the spreadsheets that are being used to do <i>something</i> associated with the demand management process that you can now start to inject some process discipline and control into.
    Another example is the ability to integrate with tools like 3rd party sales force automation or channel partners across mobile devices, etc. Because eSOA decouples the interaction layer from the data itself, I now have greater flexibility to extend and collaborate across an increasingly fragmented "demand chain" and different types of users and devices. The opportunity to add value requires some analysis and creativity -- but we are in the age of user-driven innovation and eSOA is designed for this "self service" paradigm.
    Hope this helps.

  • Demand Plan and Supply commit

    The forecast or demand plan from Demantra (monthly bucket) is sent to suppliers by Collaboration planning Via ASCP (broken to weekly bucket). The supply commit will be received through CP (wkly bucket) to ASCP (wkly bucket) to Demantra (aggregated to monthly).
    The reason being demantra values are in montly bucket and we want weekly break up and thats why we are thinking to use ASCP.
    Is this true?
    View Plan vs. commit by month in Demantra
    View Plan vs. commit by week in ASCP
    CP is a portal for file exchange
    Or supply commit is visible only in CP?
    Please explain and suggest alternate design if possible?
    Thanks

    Hi,
    You need to define the SNP Demand Profile and SNP Supply Profile in the Product Location master data.
    Goto -> /n/SAPAPO/MAT1 -> On the selection screen below the Product / location fields, you see the fields for 
    - Lot Size Profile
    - Demand Profile
    - SNP: Demand Profile
    - SNP: Supply Profile
    - Deplloyment Profile.
    Here you can enter the name of any profile you want to create and use the 'Create' button to create your profile. This will be then available for selection when you create your Product Location master.
    Hope this helps. Let us know if you still have any doubts.
    Cheers,
    Srinidhi
    Hope this helps.

  • IPhone 3G model prices, available plans and plan costs

    I've looked but could not find a comprehensive chart that displays the various iPhone 3G models, their prices when subsidized and not (if applicable, will use AT&T) and the available plans and their costs. Where can I find one? If there isn't one ...perhaps one could post such data here in one neat centralized format? Thanks!

    Try this link:
    http://www.wireless.att.com/cell-phone-service/specials/iphone-info.jsp
    Glor

  • Unable to create a production plan and schedule on SAP B1

    Hi,
    I've been trying to figure out how to use SAP B1 to give me a production plan and schedule for quite some time now.... I have no problem in accessing my pending orders. There seems to be no option in my production tab to enter resource information! Would be great if you could possibly tell me how to figure this out.

    Hi,
    Without capturing the actual time of production orders, it is not possible to perform scheduling. You may create planned production order by based on theoretical time.
    Only third party add-on fulfill your requirement.
    Thanks & Regards,
    Nagarajan

  • Forecast values in Demand Planning

    Is there a way to obtain forecast values right to the way they are splitted and alloted to Customer groups/markets etc when the user enters values to Saleable CDP line or a certain keyfigure line/row in any view of the planning book. Calculations are done behind via macros etc.Can I Know the table name where it is split & stored in SAP tables.Thsi is required as I need to retrieve the information in the user exit BAdI /SAPAPO/SDP_SAVE to retrieve them ? Transaction is /SAPAPO/SDP94.
    Thanks
    Savitha

    hi Glason
    if the values have been changed by the user community, I am not sure if there is a way to find out. However if there is technical flaw in data processing, you can check for the steps as posted in the above post.
    We faced a similar issue in our project. We were not able to trace the user ids under which the values were changed. However since we retain the 15 days of back up, we were able to check that the values were changed on a certain date but not the user ids. but we were still able to restore the original values.
    As an additional step, we also developed macros to store (in the form of alerts) the exisitng value and the updated value incase the there was a manual change in the Sales forecast and other editable key figures.  This ensured that there was a check if there was a manul change. we also ensured that these macros were not executed during the background jobs.
    SAP also provides a standard SAP APO Change Monitor add-on which can be used to track chnages to the key figures. Please refer to note 1308968 for further information on the add on.
    let me know if this helps.
    Rgds, Sandeep

  • Basic Data (PP-BD) - Production Planning and Control (PP) - SAP Library

    To add a comment, please log in or register on the top of this page and choose Reply. Please write your comment in English.
    You can also go back to the SAP help page.

    To add a comment, please log in or register on the top of this page and choose Reply. Please write your comment in English.
    You can also go back to the SAP help page.

  • Demand Planning: How to create a forecast in ODP

    Our client is using Oracle Financials OM etc however it currently uses a separate tool for forecasting. We are planning to start forecasting in Oracle Demand Planning.
    Following is the simplified calculation for forecasting, how can this be done in ODP:
    Calculation is done for item type, 2 calculations are done for every month (X and Y changes every month):
    JAN:
    1. A= X% of Jan sales
    2. B= Y% of last year sales
    The forecast should pick greatest number among A and B (it should not pick A+B).
    Is this possible in ODP, how to setup the forecast and its calculations.
    Thanks in advance.

    You could do this in ODP using the absolute value function and some formula measures.
    I assume you are familiar with formula measures in ODP and hence I will focus only on the math behind the formula measures. I am ignoring the percentage aspect that can be easily achieved using formula measure capabilities.
    The result set that you want is the following:
    if X > Y return X else Y
    Formula measure 1 = FM1 = X + Y
    Formula measure 2 = FM2 = = |X - Y| (absolute value)
    Formula measure 3 = (FM1 + FM2) / 2
    How does this work?
    |X - Y|
    returns Y - X if Y > X
    returns X - Y if X > Y
    if X > Y then the result is
    (X + Y + X - Y)/2 = X
    if X < Y, then the result is
    (X + Y + Y - X)/2 = Y
    This will give you the results you want.
    Note: the formula measures apply at all levels of the hierarchy and is not the aggregation from the lowest levels.
    Please be careful and validate this solution against your total set of requirements.

  • Pros and cons Demand Planning in APO or ECC

    Hello,
    is there a paper/pdf out there describing the pros and cons of DP in APO and ECC. We are planning to implement demand planning and are in an evaluation face whether to go with an APO solution or not. The financial aspect is not an issue. We already have the licensing in place for APO and ECC.
    Which solution provides better flexibility and usability? Have any of you guys got experience with implementing demand planning in a non-manufacturing orgnisation. That is we are looking for a tool to forecast/plan external and internal procurement.
    Any suggestions are  welcome.

    Hi ,
    Definitely APO DP have many advantage over ECC. 
    => More Flexibility than ECC demand management
    => Complex statistical tool can be used for forecasting
    => Complex macros can be build as per the business need
    => Easy visilbility & maintenance of the data
    => Advance Demand planning functionalities like Promotional planning, LCM, Management decisions, etc can be incorporated easily.
    Also refer the details provided in the below thread for more details:
    General Discussion - Why to choose APO over R/3 for planning?
    Re: General Discussion - Why to choose APO over R/3 for planning?
    Hope this helps,
    Nawanit

  • SAP SNP and Demand Planning

    Can someone provide some links or papers which have details of extracts from SAP SNP and Demand Planning and APO in general?
    I am aware of help.sap.com links
    Thanks

    Hi,
    Check these.
    https://www.sdn.sap.com/irj/servlet/prt/portal/prtroot/docs/library/uuid/5f229690-0201-0010-84ba-9ee5a8958a05
    https://www.sdn.sap.com/irj/servlet/prt/portal/prtroot/docs/library/uuid/4fe5d590-0201-0010-6c8d-ada86492cf11
    http://help.sap.com/bp_biv335/BI_EN/BBLibrary/documentation/B84_BB_ConfigGuide_EN_DE.doc
    http://help.sap.com/bp_biv335/BI_EN/html/BW/DemPlanAnal.htm
    https://www.sdn.sap.com/irj/sdn/wiki?path=/display/bi/apo%2b-%2bbw%2badhoc%2breporting
    Re: APO to BW Design Question
    Re: APO BW Integration
    Regards.

Maybe you are looking for