Forecasting of a product

Hi
This is a general case ....
Suppose if i have a new product...say a "X" ..which is a new one , one of its type . Now i want to do a forecast for this product.
There is no history for this product , there is no old product which is similar to this one, also there is no competitor data available for this to do a forecast...
Which are the possible methods by which forecast can be done for this , or how can forecst be done for this ..Please help...
Regards
RK

Hi Rakesh,
For forecasting a product, historical data always helps to fix the exact
forecast.
In cases, if you dont have forecast history available, then you can choose
one of the following ways
1) Try with manual forecast based on intelligence based forecasting
2) Try using customer given forecast if available
3) Try generating own forecast values which matches budget and overall
sales figures
4) Try using similar products which were sold in the past and if you feel
that data will match somehow and then you make modifications in the
outcome generated
I suggest you can go far manual forecast based on the marketing advise
and customer needs in order to avoid pile up of inventory
Regards
R. Senthil Mareeswaran.

Similar Messages

Sales forecasting scenario for production and procurement

Hello Gurus
We have currently one scenario need your inputs and expertise
We have a requirement for the Sales forecast for the production and procurement planning. More over its like demand planning but sales needs to have a 6 months or yearly sales forecast in the system.
Is there any option or functionality available for the same.in SAP-SD
Thanks inadvance
Regards
Venkat

Hi KV chalapathi
check this link
How to maintain Sales forecast or projection in SAP
hope clear your issue
Regards,
Krishna

APO Constrained and unconstrained Forecast for a Product, Location

Hi Gurus,
Please let me know the simple ways to get the constrained and unconstrained forecast for a product / location. I am new to APO, so please help me to send the detailed information. I would really appreciate it.
Thanks in advance for your wonderful help.
Best regards
Nagarajan

Nagarjan,
When you run the fortecast in DP you consider the sales history. Now, this sales history is actual sales. While forecasting all that is considered are these values of the past and not the present and future capability to actually meet this forecast. Its just plain statistically generated numbers. Now suppose based on your sales you generate the following forecastL
Jan 1000
Feb 1000
Mar 1500
This is then released to SNP. Use the TX /sapapo/mc90. The idea is now to EVALUATE THIS FORECAST AGAINST OUR CAPABILITY TO SUPPLY, IN OTEHR WORDS CONTRAINTS!
After releasing to SNP you can do a finite planning taking into consideration constraints such as Capacity, vendor capabilities, procurement constraints etc... Its almost always the case that the exact numbers cannot be met and thats whgy we do all the replanninga and levelling and rescheduling etc etc...
In SNP you can run an unconstrained pla., You can then level this using SNP capacity levelling. Remmeber this process may span certain levels like DC- > FG Plant -> SFG Plant etc...
After considering supply capcbilities you can come up with a REVISED forecast:
Jan: 800
Feb: 1000
Mar: 1600
Note that for March you are able to take an increased volume. You can now release this plan to DP back again to tell it that this is the demand I can meet and this is what should be planned. This can be done using Tx /SAPAPO/SNPFCST or /SAPAPO/LCOUT
Hope this clarifies.
Abhi

Copying the forecast of a product to other products

Hi Gurus,
we have a specific situation where we would like to copy the forecast of the Product1 at time periods T1, T2, T3, T4 to another Product 2 and forecast of the Product1 at time periods T5, T6, T7 to another product3
can realignment copy function be used to achieve this but how..can you share your ideas..any other workaround are also welcome.. Thanks

Hi
The realignment will not work in your case. I will suggest you to check for /SAPAPO/MSDP_FCST1 - Lifecycle Planning which can fulfill you requirement.
Please find below the link with detail information. You can create different life cycle profiles with respective time period and do it.
http://help.sap.com/saphelp_scm41/helpdata//EN/34/086e409f637748919ff4477ba8a17f/frameset.htm
I hope this will help you.
Thanks
Amol

Releasing a portion of Forecast for SAME product to SNP and a portion to R3

After running DP forecasting, can a portion of the forecast for the SAME product be released to SNP and a portion transferred to R3 ?
The requirement here is for a product, say Prod1, demand comes from 2 Business lines. Through Project System u2013 PS module, system differentiated the business lines
From a DP phase 1 perspective, client want to do global forecasting for 2 business lines
The challenge we r facing is demand coming from Business line 2 cannot be consumed in SNP as demand comes in the form of Automatic Reservations and CIF doesnt have the capability to CIF automatic reservations. Standard CIF only cifs manual reservations. So client wants the forecast for Business line 2 (Note that this is for the same product) to be transferred to R3.
So can a portion of the forecast for the SAME product be released to SNP and a portion transferred to R3 ?
TIA

Hi Visu, thanks for the reply
So if If I want to release the demand plan as a background job to both R/3 and SNP based on certain characteristic(Business Line), I am thinking of doing the below things.
Release to R3 -- >
1. Create a Transfer Profile
2 . Create an Activity using "MC8T- Define Activities for Mass Processing" and assign this transfer profile to the activity.
3. Create a Planning Job by selecting a Selection ID( that has the demand separation characteristic)
4. Schedule the Planning Job
Release to SNP -- >
1. Create a Release Profile
2 . Create an Activity using "MC8T- Define Activities for Mass Processing" and assign this Release profile to the activity.
3. Create a Planning Job by selecting a Selection ID( that has the demand separation characteristic)
4. Schedule the Planning Job
However, I am not sur eif I can do the follwoing.
1. Can I create a SINGLE Planning job to release demand BOTH to R3 and SNP ?
2. If I am using Different Key Figures in the planning area( per business line), do I have the need to maintain a separate characteristic value in the POS, as anyway I can load the data from cube to these separate key figures based on business line ?
3. MOST IMPORTANTLY, if I use different planning jobs to release to R3 and SNP, I can have different selection ID's ( per business line) and select these in the planning job instead of maintaing TWO DIFFERENT Key figures. do you think this is feasible ? Any thoughts/advice ?
TIA

Stop forecast on obsolete product

Hi All:
Any idea how to take care of material in DP/BW which get obsolete over the time. I mean how to set it obsolete so that the system no longer generates its forecast.
Thank you
Sadat

Kedar,
as a standard SAP recommends to use the lifecycle management funtionality. Just maintain a proper phase-out-profile and assign it to the obsolete CVCs. By this CVCs will stay in the system (for visibility) but no stat. forecast will be created from the point of time defined in the phase-out-profile.
Alternatively you can delete CVCs directly when they become obsolete.
We do that, because forecast data have already been saved in an external BW system for reporting. By this, you will keep your DP clean.
cheers
JB

Forecast Consumption in APO- No Data Available in Product View

Hi Experts
I facing some problem in Forecast Consumption in APO. The APO system is connected to a R/3 system. So data relevant for Forecast consumption comes from R/3.
The allocation indicator in the requirement class assigned to the strategy maintained in the product master is set as " no consumption with customer requirement". and the same is transfered to APO.
I have the changed the settings in APO and here are the setting maintained in APO to enable Forecast Consumption.
Product Master Setting:
a) Consumption Mode: 2 ( forward and backward)
b) Consumption Period: ( 30 days both backward and forward)
c) Strategy Group : 20 and assignment mode is set to "Assign customer requirement to planning with final assembly" and category group has sales order - BM
d) The check mode setting in the ATP tab is set to "Assign customer requirement to planning with final assembly"
I have a forecast for today's date and a sales order transferred from R/3 for the same date. But I do not see any data in the Forecast tab in the product view ( /sapapo/rrp3 Tcode)
Please let me know if I am missing any setting in APO. Or the SAles order carries the strategy information from R/3 and influencing the consumption any way.

Hi,
What is your Forecast & Sales order quantity? If these are same then sales order consumed forecast, so you can not able to see in the rrp3.
Second thing try to increse the forecast quantity than sales order quantity & then check it.
Regards
Sujay

Aggregation of the Forecast to product level

Hi,
In the Demand Planning We have a requirement that say there are 2 products A and B. We will execute the forecast at the product level and we get forecast say 200 ifor product A and 300 ifor product B for next month.
Now i will run the forecast at the product group level(taking these 2 products in one selection) and i will get the forecast say 500. Now the requirement is that this forecast is to be disaggregated to 200 for product A and 300 for product B . Client do not like to run the forecast at the product level.If we run at the product group level,this should be disaggregated to the product level in such a way it shhould equal to the forecast when we run at product level. Forecast profile is same for product and product group level. All the other parameters such as historical period,forecast periods etc are same at the product and product group level.
Please advise what are the settings required.
Thanks
Siva

Hi Siva,
If I understand correctly what you need is either you forecast at aggregate level or details level, forecast at details level should be same in both case.
This is more of chicken or egg come first situation. If you really like the forecast at the aggregate level to disaggregate same as forecast at detail level than I would suggest to forecast at lower level.
Reason being, Even though you use same forecast profile you will get different forecast numbers at lower level and aggregate level due to different sale pattern (Sales history) at detail level in case you are using complex forecast strategy.
You may take following approach to get some what near by results if not exact.
1. calculate "detail proportion factor" for all periods you want to forecast.
2. Forecast at product group level and dis aggregate based on this detailed proportion factors.
Hope this helps.
Regards,
Harshil Desai

Forecast consumption situation not shown in Forecast tab-RRP3 View

Hi,
I have released Forecast(FA) from DP to SNP.I am able to see the forecasts in Product view Elements tab.But I am not able to see any Forecast consumption details and overview in Forecast tab of Product view.It is showing if i create forecast manually in RRP3 view itself.How to bring the forecast data in forecast tab of RRP3 view.
Thanks&Regards
Venkadesh

Hi Venkadesh,
This is a known issue and can be solved by SAP Note 743646 - Incorrect consumption situation in product view.
Using a report, you can adjust the consumption situation in the element view so that it is the same as the consumption situation in the forecasting view. To do this, call transaction SE38 and create the report Z_CSP_DELTA_FCST with the title "Check of the consumption situation"; Type: Executable program; Status: Test program; Application: Materials Management. Delete the first line "REPORT..." from the new report then use the cut and paste functions to add the program to the correction instructions.
Try this out and let me kow if this solves your purpose.
Many thanks,
Amit Sen

What are theSNP Settings required for Forecast Consumption with Sales Order

Hello APO Folks,
I have one SNP scenario: (We don't have GATP)
Forecast for Finsihed Product - "PNG_Fert" in Location "1000".
I have forecast quantity of 500, now our requirement is - when SNP heuristic run will take place (without any sales order quantity) then there should not be any planned orders creation.
Planned order creation should happen Only if any one places sales order from ECC , which comes to APO then against that sales order forecast quantity should consume and should create the planned orders equal to the nos. of sales order quantity.
So if I have forecast of 500 qtys and sales order of 90 qtys then heuristic run should yield/create the planned order of 90 qtys and there should be 500-90 = 410 forecast quantities remaning.
Please let me know which strategy will be used and other setting in ECC and APO for SNP. I
The setting with strategy 50 in ECC and 30 in APO worked properly with PPDS - RRP3 view but from interactive planning /sapapo/sdp94 it is not working, so there will be different setting for SNP.
Thanks in Advance,
Regards,
Vishal
Edited by: Vishal24a on Oct 13, 2011 9:15 AM

Vishal
Can you please explain what issue you are facing when you load the product in planning book. First thing is do you see 410 against forecast and 90 against sales order key figure ? If yes then it means the forecast is getting consumed properly by SO.
As far as your other requirement goes (planned order should only be created for sale order quantity) you have to change your total demand macro calclation logic. Your total demand key figure should show 90 instead of 500 - so just include sales order in your total demand calculation (stock balance macro) and run heuristic. Your requirement will be satisfied
Thanks
Aparna

APO DP - loading of selections and forecast profiles assigned to selections

I am using APO DP V5.
I am forecasting at a 'product at customer' level.
I have a flat file containing the 'product at customer' combinations - of which there are several thousand - and the proposed forecast profile for each combination.
Is there a good way for:
1. loading these combinations as a set of 'selection ids' into APO DP?
2. loading the set of 'selections assigned to forecast profiles'
I note that the 'selections assigned to forecast profiles' are in table /sapapo/dp_fcst2, but this table includes the GUID for selection ids, so I assume the selection ids must be generated first.
Thanks for any advice.
Regards,
Bob Austin

Hi Bob,
There was a similar question asked sometime back in this forum, and am attaching the replies given to that.
Re: APO DP assignment of selections to forecast profiles
Check this link, it might help you.
Regards,
Jagadeesh.

Transfer of forecast from SNP to ECC

We are using transfer profile to transfer forecast (9ADFCST) from SNP to ECC.
We find that the original forecast is not transferred, but only the unconsumed (Original fcst - sales) forecast is transferred.
Is there a way to transfer the original forecast from SNP to ECC?
Thanks,
Ashok

Hi JD,
Thanks for your response.
Yes, we had thought of doing that, but we are transferring the forecast based on requirement strategy for each product in product master data in SNP.
Though DP has all the original forecst, it does not have req. strat. as a selection criterion for SKU.
For example-- if the req. strat. is 20 then create VSF orders in ECC, if it is 30 then create VSE orders in ECC and if it is 32 do not transfer to ECC.
So we have to fall back on SNP to transfer the forecast using that product selection criterion.
But in SNP the forecast is consumed by sales order/deliveries and only the "remaining" forecast (after all the consumption have taken place) is transferred.
We had tried /sapapo/dmp2 to transfer original forecast, but it does not work if the "Planning Assembly" field is not checked in the product master. And we do not use that field in our product master data.

How to manage spare parts and production parts seperately

Hello,
I want to keep some spare parts for services only ,though some of them also used in production .
then how can I implement this in SAP system,how the stock of spare parts not influence the forecast of the production( means these parts only can be used in services)
how to separate these parts in Warehouse in system and physically.
Thanks,
Helai

Helai,
If it were MY company, I would
1. Put the spares into a diff storage locn
2. Enter Safety stock for the quantity I want kept in 'spares' inventory
3. Use an availability check in which Safety stock is not relevant for ATP for these parts.
However, this does not meet all of YOUR stated business requirements. For this, you have to use MRP areas, and have the 'spares' storage location assigned to a different MRP area. You can then plan them completely separately from your production parts.
[MRP Area|http://help.sap.com/saphelp_erp60_sp/helpdata/EN/c4/106956ae8a11d1a6720000e83235d4/frameset.htm]
Regards,
DB49

Developing a Forecasting App -- But with Variable Prices...

Hi,
Would like to post an interesting question for the BPC community: We're developing an application to do Sales Forecasting which will replace an app from a competitor.
The one tricky thing with it is that the prices for products can vary by customer, order size, and by month. Sometimes the variations are quite significant, therefore we have to find a way to incorporate them into the application in some way.
Right now, our best idea is to enter the forecast by QUANTITY and then (maybe) have a whole separate dimension (?), to list out all sorts of different prices.
Has anyone seen other approaches in other Forecasting app's?
Thanks,

Signeddata is the only numeric field in the fact table where all values are stored. You're confusing table structure with dimensional values. The fact table is comprised of one column for each dimension in the application and a numeric field called signeddata. So if you have 5 dimensions in your application there will be 6 columns in the fact table. What the amount in signeddata represents is based on what dimensional values you have assigned to the record. From the earlier discussion if you went with separate accounts (quantity, price, sales) then you'd have records in the fact table similar to:
Category, Time, Product, Customer, Account, Signeddata
Forecast, Jan.2008, Product x, Customer y, Quantity, 100
Forecast, Jan.2008, Product x, Customer y, Price, 5
Forecast, Jan.2008, Product x, Customer y, Sales, 500
If you loaded a record from your GL then it would look something like:
Category, Time, Product, Customer, Account, Signeddata
Actuals, Jan.2008, Product x, Customer y, Sales, 900
If you used the second layout discussed (with a data source dimension) then you'd have forecast records that look like:
Category, Time, Product, Customer, Account, DataSource, Signeddata
Forecast, Jan.2008, Product x, Customer y, Sales, Quantity, 100
Forecast, Jan.2008, Product x, Customer y, Sales, Price, 5
Forecast, Jan.2008, Product x, Customer y, Sales, Dollars, 500
Actuals, Jan.2008, Product x, Customer y, Sales, Dollars, 900

Forecasting sales

Hello,
I am involved in a project that aims to obtain consumption estimations.
Despite having knowledge of forecasting models and know how to work in SAP, I find myself with a problem in the database.
In MM01, we can create a forecast for a product, however, this prediction is based on data values unplanned. There is a field where I can correct the data which where I've been puting the values of real consumption (and different data unplanned).
Given the amount of products concerned, it is unthinkable to do this manually, so I'm looking for a solution.
Is there a way to create a database in AHD, but I can't import the data.
Does anysomeone can help me?
Thanks

Hi,
Check these links:
http://help.sap.com/saphelp_erp60_sp/helpdata/en/43/4d209cde9657bfe10000000a155369/13_MM_EN.pdf
http://help.sap.com/saphelp_47x200/helpdata/en/cb/2f26455c59a046a37e58dc3f1ae85e/Chap_09_MM.pdf
Regards,
Eduardo

Forecasting of a product

Similar Messages

Maybe you are looking for