How long does it take to download iOS 6 to iPhone 4S over the air ?

I've been waiting for over 2 hours now and it says 1 min left then 1 min after it says 2 hours left

How are you downloading, wireless or wired via iTunes?  The two are very different file sizes.  Wired is more than 1 GB and wireless is something like 100 MB.  Mine took less than 10 min start to finish on wireless with a high speed Verizon FiOS line.
If it has started, ride it out.

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