How long is the "preparing" stage REALLY supposed to take on initial backup

Ok, I know that the initial back up takes a long time. I have read that on many occasions, but I have now left my TC and Laptop to bond for 16 hours now and it is still running the "preparing" stage. As some of you may know this is not the first problem I have had with the TC and the initial back up (please see http://discussions.apple.com/thread.jspa?threadID=1844195&tstart=0 if you are curious) and at least I have gotten to this "preparing" stage. Does anyone have any advice? I really do not want to start over as I am terribly afraid of going through the other problems again. I have read in some older posts to view the console log? Where can this be found? This is why I have not tried that yet. Thanks in advance for any replies!!

console app is found applications/utilities you can read the logs but you'll probably need a science degree in programming.
I just messed around with Time Machine in various ways:
MBP ethernet to TC preparing took less than 10 minutes less than 15 minutes using wireless N+B/G
less than 5 minutes using firewire 800 this is on a 188 gig backup

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