How reliable is the Apple "check availability" web page?

I have a couple friends that checked the web site for availability of a 16gb black 3g. The web site stated " not available". They even called the store to confirm. However, when they stopped by the apple store at lunch they had plenty of 16gb black 3g. So how reliable is the web site? Has anyone else experienced this? I live over an hour away and I want to know for sure they have 3gs available before I drive that far.

The availability page reports shipments in transit to the selected Apple Store. Sometimes shipments do not match what's expected (they may get more of one type, less of another), sometimes weather delays prevent shipments from arriving as scheduled. It's an estimate, nothing more.
Unfortunately, the bottom line is that you can't +"know for sure"+. The only sure bet is to order one at an AT&T Store via Direct Fulfillment - then, when you are informed your phone has arrived, it will be there. But if you're in a hurry, a trip to the Apple Store would be quicker, if they do, in fact, have them when you arrive.
As of late last week in my area, there were still long lines prior to store opening (>30 people) - more people in line than phones in the shipment. So even though they are listed as available, they may not be by the time you get there.
Hope this helps...

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