Mathematical and statistical challenge for developers

Hi guys, a mats/statistical question. I've been asked to make a calculation in SQL (it's more fun that really job..to be honest it's only fun...anyway..) with a situation like this:
38 events ( basketball games). You can  bet in more than, we can say, 100 points or less than 100 points. So you got 76 possibilities. If we decide to bet in 10 events more (IT WOULD BE ALWAYS MORE,
OVER) how much is the possibility to win with the different percentage ( I call percentage the over, so the minimun is 10 events more. Of course if you got 38 event OVER the percentage is 100% and you are sure to win).
So far it hard but it become harder if you play for example 25 bets splitting all the events ( that's means for each game the same number of the overall bet). Of course you cannot just summarize the probabilities but you have to come up with a statistical
solution...
Any suggestion for the step one and eventually also for the step two?
Thanks ( I repeat, it's for funny but it's a challenge for developers..)

Ok Stefan you're right I should have gone you more clues, but meanwhile I'm working...anyway I accepted the challenge..and thank you a lot to follow this fun situation ( the deadline is tomorrow at 8.00 am Greenwich time..) 
Or do you mean each event results in one of two results:
p(n) aka "over 100"
q(n) aka "under 100 or equal"
I mean exactly this, or yes (over 100.5 points) or not (under 100.5 points).
I'm going to explain better the concept of the bet
A B C D E F G H I L M.....till 38 letter.
My bet A C D F G H I L M N ( I'm predicting the event that all these matches will be over 100.5).
The script shoud retrieve the possibility to win having:
38 matches over 100.5 on 38 total matches
37/ 38
36/38
and so on. So far I calculated the right percentage of the events from 38 (over)/38 (total) till 10(over)/38(total).
0.0000000004
0.0000000138
0.0000002560
0.0000030715
0.0000268760
0.0001827569
0.0010051632
0.0045950318
0.0178057482
0.0593524939
0.1721222324
0.4381293189
0.9857909675
1.9715819350
3.5206820268
5.6330912430
8.0975686617
10.4792065034
12.2257409207
12.8692009691
12.2257409207
10.4792065034
8.0975686617
5.6330912430
3.5206820268
1.9715819350
0.9857909675
0.4381293189
0.1721222324
Now I should calculate the possibility to have 10 right on 38 matches over 100.5 ( 100% of course), 10 right on 37 over 100.5 and go on...
Sorry if I'm not total clear but I'm running in different tasks..
KALMAN I don't have so far any code I'm trying to come up with a solution and yes...it's fun

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    A cost commitment of $0,00
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    Thanks and regards,
    Ray

    Hello Jie,
    if i right assuming your query then PR->PO= Commitment should be created.
    but GRN by MIGO=Statistical cost should not create once MIGO if right then actual cost would be 0.
    you can activate commitment by OKKP transaction.
    And you want to cost should not be statistical after MIGO right?
    here solution is cost never statistical type until account assignment object not statistical type this is my assumption.
    if this is the issue then check G/L account from the PO. then check that G/L account, whether it is a B/S account or P&L account? I think you have wrongly assigned P&L account.
    Regards,
    Sanjeev

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