MRP Forcasting

Hi
I have a specific MRP requirement.
1. For example if last 6 months consumption values are from Aug 09 to Jan 10 are 200,300,200,300,100,400... then forcasting out put should be 20% more than than the calculated average. Here it should be 250(avg of last 6 months) * 1.2 = 300.
2. Forecasting should be for next two months and it should be -
for Feb -> 300( as explained in point 1)
for mar -> avg should be taken from (consumption values of sep 09 to Jan 10 and forecasted value for Feb10) .. so output should be 1400 divided by 6 then multiplied by 1.2 - >280
Please suggest which forecasting model to use to satisfy both requirements.
Thanks,
Yuvnish

Hi Yuvnish,
This kind of algorithmic logic that you want to apply has nothing to do with forecasting by itself, but rather with Demand Planning in it's wider context.
For this you need to use one of the system's demand planning tools, like SOP or DM in ERP, APO/DP. There, you can run statistical forecasting, get it into the planning table, and then apply this kind of calculations.
Hope that this helps.
Regards,
Mario

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