Time Machine Backup growing while I watch

Hi,
I've been running time machine on my 13" unibody macbook for the past 6 months no problems. Things started playing up after the SL upgrade (trying to run a 90gb incremental backup for a dataset no more than 30gb) so I wiped the time capsule 500gb (from the airport utility) and started fresh.
Backups now run for their estimated amount and when they reach the maximum the backed up and the total start increasing together. i.e. the first run was meant to copy 27 gb, it go to 27 gb of 27 and continued to increase in size. I'm currently on 36 gb of 36 gb
Backup widget log
Starting standard backup
Attempting to mount network destination using URL: afp://David%[email protected]/David%20Watson's%20Time%20Capsule
Mounted network destination using URL: afp://David%[email protected]/David%20Watson's%20Time%20Capsule
Creating disk image /Volumes/David Watson's Time Capsule/David Watson’s MacBook.sparsebundle
Disk image /Volumes/David Watson's Time Capsule/David Watson’s MacBook.sparsebundle mounted at: /Volumes/Time Machine Backups
Backing up to: /Volumes/Time Machine Backups/Backups.backupdb
Ownership is disabled on the backup destination volume. Enabling.
Backup content size: 99.8 GB excluded items size: 74.3 GB for volume Macintosh HD
No pre-backup thinning needed: 30.60 GB requested (including padding), 463.19 GB available
Waiting for index to be ready (101)
Copied 11.1 GB of 25.5 GB, 57139 of 765844 items
Copied 27.8 GB of 27.8 GB, 153102 of 765844 items
Should I just leave it?

So it looks like it backed up the entire hard drive, regardless of exclusions (see below).
Anyone know if this is right for an initial backup?
Starting standard backup
Attempting to mount network destination using URL: afp://David%[email protected]/David%20Watson's%20Time%20Capsule
Mounted network destination using URL: afp://David%[email protected]/David%20Watson's%20Time%20Capsule
Creating disk image /Volumes/David Watson's Time Capsule/David Watson’s MacBook.sparsebundle
Disk image /Volumes/David Watson's Time Capsule/David Watson’s MacBook.sparsebundle mounted at: /Volumes/Time Machine Backups
Backing up to: /Volumes/Time Machine Backups/Backups.backupdb
Ownership is disabled on the backup destination volume. Enabling.
Backup content size: 99.8 GB excluded items size: 74.3 GB for volume Macintosh HD
No pre-backup thinning needed: 30.60 GB requested (including padding), 463.19 GB available
Waiting for index to be ready (101)
Copied 11.1 GB of 25.5 GB, 57139 of 765844 items
Copied 27.8 GB of 27.8 GB, 153102 of 765844 items
Copied 49.4 GB of 49.4 GB, 168506 of 765844 items
Copied 67.5 GB of 67.5 GB, 214203 of 765844 items
Copied 215178 files (86.4 GB) from volume Macintosh HD.
No pre-backup thinning needed: 288.6 MB requested (including padding), 375.63 GB available
Copied 166 files (103 KB) from volume Macintosh HD.
Starting post-backup thinning
No post-back up thinning needed: no expired backups exist
Backup completed successfully.
Ejected Time Machine disk image.
Ejected Time Machine network volume.

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