What are the chances of me recovering my stolen iphone 4s?

My iphone 4S was stolen tonight in San Francisco.  I have a UK phone number and UK SIM card.  My iphone is unlocked.  What are the chances of me recovering my phone?  I've reported it to the police and I've access the find phone app to notify me when found (using my mom's cell phone and my email).

Unfortunately, your chances of recovery are poor, at best. Most thieves know to turn an iPhone off, then force it into recovery mode & restore it. This defeats Find My Phone, making recovery almost impossible. Unless the police catch the thief, & match the IMEI number, doubtful you'll ever see the phone again.

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