Using Oracle Data Miner for Future Sales Prediction

Question

Hi ,
I have one question on predicting the sale for next 5 years  along with month  the data as follows.
YEAR  Month  Total_Sale
2009    1          88187
2009     2         87654
2009     3         87656
2008     1         10000
2008     2          30000
2008     3          40000
How to do this in Oracle data Miner ie  the prediction of sale for next years like 2014,2015 etc.?
The expected output
is as follows.
2014      1       2000
2014       2      3000
2014       3      9000
2014      4       234
2015       1      2344
2015       2      4000
and so on for all the 12 months and year.
CREATE TABLE "SALE_GROWTH"
   ( "YEAR" NUMBER(*,0),
"MONTH" NUMBER(*,0),
"TOTAL_SALE" NUMBER
REM INSERTING into SALE_GROWTH
SET DEFINE OFF;
Insert into SALE_GROWTH (YEAR,MONTH,TOTAL_SALE) values (2009,1,881725);
Insert into SALE_GROWTH (YEAR,MONTH,TOTAL_SALE) values (2009,2,1036585);
Insert into SALE_GROWTH (YEAR,MONTH,TOTAL_SALE) values (2009,3,1406252);
Insert into SALE_GROWTH (YEAR,MONTH,TOTAL_SALE) values (2009,4,550700);
Insert into SALE_GROWTH (YEAR,MONTH,TOTAL_SALE) values (2009,5,985413);
Insert into SALE_GROWTH (YEAR,MONTH,TOTAL_SALE) values (2009,6,727485);
Insert into SALE_GROWTH (YEAR,MONTH,TOTAL_SALE) values (2009,8,228480);
Insert into SALE_GROWTH (YEAR,MONTH,TOTAL_SALE) values (2008,9,699);
Insert into SALE_GROWTH (YEAR,MONTH,TOTAL_SALE) values (2008,10,446428);
Insert into SALE_GROWTH (YEAR,MONTH,TOTAL_SALE) values (2008,11,975335);
Insert into SALE_GROWTH (YEAR,MONTH,TOTAL_SALE) values (2008,12,4853690);
The above is the historical data.
If i use oracle sql slope , am i going get the same sale numbers as the oracle data miner will predict.
Please write.
I appreciate your help.
Thanks,
HS

Answer 1

Hi,
For a background on how you might be able to use ODM for sales forecasting, see Marcos Campos blog on timeseries (link below).
Thanks, Mark
Oracle Data Mining and Analytics: Time Series Forecasting Series