Flash 10.1 makes Flash Lite redundant?

Hi everyone.
I've been researching ways to create content for mobile devices.
It seems Flash Lite is a really good option to make both rich applications (stand-alone and internet) for mobile phones specifically.
Flash Lite is what I am developing with right now and I can distribute applications to Windows Mobile and Symbian devices.
Now I've read that Flash 10.1 will be on nearly every new phone out there soon (except iPhone, but who cares).
Does that mean we can develop in Flash (with AS3) for stand-alone applications as well (instead of Flash Lite)?
I've never found any real answers to my questions when I browse the internet about stand-alone applications, a lot seems to be focused on internet applications.
Basically I want to try and figure out what the best method of development would be to create stand-alone applications for mobile phones (any phone except iPhone, although it would be a plus if iPhone could be included ofcourse).
The Openscreenproject is awesome and hopefully leads to a standard (probably including Flash player).
Another thing I found is project Capuchin, where Flash and Java work together to create rich applications.
Flex and AIR look interesting, but will they be interesting enough for mobile development (in the future)?
So to sum it up in a single question:
If I want to develop stand-alone applications and target as many devices as possible, what should I be using now and what should I be using in the near future?
Hope to get some reactions, this is part of my graduation thesis and I'm drawing a blank.
Thanks in advance.
~ Dennis.

The only phone operating system that I have seen confirmed for flash 10.1 so far has been WebOS. I know there have been rumors for android but havent seen anything confirming it yet for sure. I think it will be a wait and see type of situation to see how phones are going to work with flash. I see it coming when new cell phones come out with those faster processors (snapdragon) so they will actually be able to support it. Unforutanely though theres barely any of those phones out right now other than T-mobiles HD2 and its android twin the Sprint EVO. I think the iphone doesnt want flash because it will lose revenue if those applications are available through places other than its app store.
David
Message was edited by: Steve Howard * ACE *

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