"Server Message The Server is unavailable" with Oracle PreBuilt VM

I've downloaded and installed the Oracle Pre-Built VM for the Hands On Development located here:
http://www.oracle.com/technetwork/middleware/webcenter/portal/downloads/owcs-portalfw-vbox-284132.html
It WAS working for a while but it seems that an update to Oracle Virtual Box or the Extension pack started to cause the error intermittently at first and now I get the error all the time. When I start the severs using the VMCTL menu option I get an error in the log files. The root of the problem seems to be:
Caused by: weblogic.jdbc.extensions.ConnectionDeadSQLException: weblogic.common.resourcepool.ResourceDeadException: 0:weblogic.common.ResourceException: Could not create pool connection. The DBMS driver exception was: IO Error: The Network Adapter could not establish the connection
at weblogic.jdbc.common.internal.JDBCUtil.wrapAndThrowResourceException(JDBCUtil.java:250)
at weblogic.jdbc.common.internal.RmiDataSource.getPoolConnection(RmiDataSource.java:352)
at weblogic.jdbc.common.internal.RmiDataSource.getConnection(RmiDataSource.java:369)
at sun.reflect.NativeMethodAccessorImpl.invoke0(Native Method)
at sun.reflect.NativeMethodAccessorImpl.invoke(NativeMethodAccessorImpl.java:39)
at sun.reflect.DelegatingMethodAccessorImpl.invoke(DelegatingMethodAccessorImpl.java:25)
at java.lang.reflect.Method.invoke(Method.java:597)
at intradoc.common.IdcMethodHolder.invokeMethod(IdcMethodHolder.java:86)
at intradoc.common.ClassHelperUtils.executeIdcMethodConvertToStandardExceptions(ClassHelperUtils.java:406)
When I go into the WebLogic Server Console it shows the UCM server as "up" but when I try to access it via
http://127.0.0.1:16200/cs I get the message
=============================
Server Message_
The Server is unavailable.
Please contact the administrator of this site to report the problem.
Click here for server process administration.
===================================
If I click the link I get a http 404 error.
Everything is just as it came out of the pre-built VM with no tweaking. I've compared my network settings to a colleague who has the same VM and our network settings are exactly the same. Enable Network Adapter is checked. Attach To is set to NAT. No port forwarding is being done.
I'm running on Windows 7 with 8GB of memory in case that's important as well.

The database is up. I use the VMCTL options and select the options from there. I've also tried starting the items individually just in case those scripts were messed up. Regardless of what is started or how I start it, I get the same error.
I can't emphasize enough that I downloaded this a while back and it worked. I went through the Hands On Labs in there and somewhere along the way the extension pack and then the Oracle VM got updated. It's at that point that things started misbehaving. I have since uninstalled, reinstalled, redownloaded, etc. and it just seems to be broken now.

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