Time Machine size discrepancy / backup fail

Hi! For a few weeks now my Time Machine backups have ceased to work, with an error that they are too big for the drive. While I only have a 500GB drive, my total size of the backup has always been well within that (thanks to the exclusions I have set up, mostly for my video projects).
I've finally had a chance to look through my files and determine that the only truly gargantuan folder was indeed my Videos folder, but it is excluded.
Here's the nub of my problem / question:
My Time Machine panel under Options says the estimated size of the full backup is 274 GB. But backups fail with a message that the backup requires 849GB! That's way more than the 20% overhead I know TM requires in addition to the backup size.
This seems to be the key to why my backups are failing.
Can anyone suggest a course of action?
Thanks!
Adam

ARGH! Would you believe that - only days after I fixed it with the combo update - it happened again?
Well, it did. "The backup requires 847.90 GB but only 93.79 GB are available."
847 GB? The "Estimated size of full backup" in the exceptions window is 276.88 GB.
Just like before.
I did run a Repair Permissions after the combo update as suggested... just to rule that out...
Just in case it's at all helpful, I'm including the info from the Dashboard widget that reveals Time Machine log info - first for the last successful backup, then for the first one to fail.
Sigh...
Last successful backup:
Starting standard backup
Network destination already mounted at: /Volumes/Data
QUICKCHECK ONLY; FILESYSTEM CLEAN
Disk image /Volumes/Data/Adam’s iMac.sparsebundle mounted at: /Volumes/Time Machine Backups
Backing up to: /Volumes/Time Machine Backups/Backups.backupdb
Starting pre-backup thinning: 789.60 GB requested (including padding), 83.52 GB available
No expired backups exist - deleting oldest backups to make room
Deleted backup /Volumes/Time Machine Backups/Backups.backupdb/Adam’s iMac/2011-07-02-021404: 83.52 GB now available
Deleted 1 backups: oldest backup is now Jul 3, 2011
Stopping backup.
Backup canceled.
Ejected Time Machine disk image.
Compacting backup disk image to recover free space
Compl
(and yes, the incomplete last line is just as it appeared in the log.)
Failed backup:
Starting standard backup
Network destination already mounted at: /Volumes/Data
QUICKCHECK ONLY; FILESYSTEM CLEAN
Disk image /Volumes/Data/Adam’s iMac.sparsebundle mounted at: /Volumes/Time Machine Backups
Backing up to: /Volumes/Time Machine Backups/Backups.backupdb
Starting pre-backup thinning: 789.67 GB requested (including padding), 87.35 GB available
No expired backups exist - deleting oldest backups to make room
Error: backup disk is full - all 0 possible backups were removed, but space is still needed.
Backup Failed: unable to free 789.67 GB needed space
Backup failed with error: Not enough available disk space on the target volume.
Ejected Time Machine disk image.
Ejected Time Machine network volume.

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    Since I am effectively breaking a live connection every time I turn the drive off without unmounting it first (an obvious no-no), the data has great potential to be getting more and more screwed up. What can I do?

    Message logs:
    October 12, 2009, 1:43:25 AM
    Volume at path /Volumes/Racer BU does not appear to be the correct backup volume for this computer. (Cookies do not match)
    Backup failed with error: 18
    October 12, 2009, 11:32:32 AM
    Starting standard backup
    Backing up to: /Volumes/Racer BU/Backups.backupdb
    Event store UUIDs don't match for volume: Racer X
    Node requires deep traversal:/ reason:kFSEDBEventFlagMustScanSubDirs|kFSEDBEventFlagReasonEventDBUntrustable|
    No pre-backup thinning needed: 984.2 MB requested (including padding), 443.72 GB available
    Copied 21948 files (368.1 MB) from volume Racer X.
    No pre-backup thinning needed: 548.2 MB requested (including padding), 443.35 GB available
    Copied 961 files (965 KB) from volume Racer X.
    Starting post-backup thinning
    Deleted backup /Volumes/Racer BU/Backups.backupdb/Eric’s Mac Pro/2009-10-10-215828: 443.35 GB now available
    Deleted backup /Volumes/Racer BU/Backups.backupdb/Eric’s Mac Pro/2009-10-10-205855: 443.36 GB now available
    Deleted backup /Volumes/Racer BU/Backups.backupdb/Eric’s Mac Pro/2009-10-10-195856: 443.40 GB now available
    Deleted backup /Volumes/Racer BU/Backups.backupdb/Eric’s Mac Pro/2009-10-10-185908: 443.46 GB now available
    Deleted backup /Volumes/Racer BU/Backups.backupdb/Eric’s Mac Pro/2009-10-10-175907: 443.51 GB now available
    Post-back up thinning complete: 5 expired backups removed
    Backup completed successfully.
    October 12, 2009, 12:18:32 PM
    Starting standard backup
    Backing up to: /Volumes/Racer BU/Backups.backupdb
    No pre-backup thinning needed: 954.4 MB requested (including padding), 443.51 GB available
    Unable to rebuild path cache for source item. Partial source path:
    Copied 16717 files (339.6 MB) from volume Racer X.
    No pre-backup thinning needed: 569.5 MB requested (including padding), 443.17 GB available
    Copied 634 files (18.7 MB) from volume Racer X.
    Starting post-backup thinning
    Deleted backup /Volumes/Racer BU/Backups.backupdb/Eric’s Mac Pro/2009-10-10-225832: 443.24 GB now available
    Deleted backup /Volumes/Racer BU/Backups.backupdb/Eric’s Mac Pro/2009-10-10-165828: 443.25 GB now available
    Deleted backup /Volumes/Racer BU/Backups.backupdb/Eric’s Mac Pro/2009-10-10-155855: 443.30 GB now available
    Deleted backup /Volumes/Racer BU/Backups.backupdb/Eric’s Mac Pro/2009-10-10-145857: 443.36 GB now available
    Deleted backup /Volumes/Racer BU/Backups.backupdb/Eric’s Mac Pro/2009-10-10-135852: 443.38 GB now available
    Post-back up thinning complete: 5 expired backups removed
    Backup completed successfully.
    October 12, 2009, 4:46:51 PM
    Starting standard backup
    Volume at path /Volumes/Racer BU does not appear to be the correct backup volume for this computer. (Cookies do not match)
    Backup failed with error: 18
    etc...
    The long periods between backups are when it is "preparing for backup" and nothing is happening. Sometimes this is while I'm not using it and the machine is asleep.

  • "Time Machine Error   The backup volume is read only"

    Lately, every time I try to backup to my Time Capsule using Time Machine it fails and I get a message saying "Time Machine Error The backup volume is read only. To select a different volume, open system preferences and choose Time Machine" So I do that and I see the Time capsule listed. I don't want to select anything but the Time Capsule, cuz what else do I have, right? Am I wrong in assuming the "backup volume" is the Time Capsule? Anyway, I have tried changing the permissions on the time capsule, but when I get the "get info" box for the time capsule, there is not an option to change those settings, they are grayed out. Every thing worked well for about a week and then this started. My backup volume must have been "Read & Write" at first, because I can see what was backed up when I open Time Machine. Anybody have a clue what's going on? How can I make the back up volume "Read & Write" again and why did it change to "Read Only?"

    Nope, I am using the same passwords as ever, both users have the same password, BTW. The password I gave to the Time Capsule is different, tho, but that password is for the wireless aspect of the Time Capsule, so that wouldn't have anything to do with it, would it?
    I also get a message box that says "Disk Repair The disk "Backup of XXX's Computer" was not repairable by this computer, it is being made available to you with limited functionality. You must back up your data and reformat the disk as soon as possible." This box appears in conjunction with the appearance of the Norton's virus scan box scanning the time capsule.

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    How do I manage my time machine backup sizes?
    I need to be able to limit/quota the time machine size.   I can quota per user per system, but that would impact their home directories.   I've tried to modify the sparsebundle size, but that just horks up TIme Machine.

    Shame nobody cared to describe this working solution... I am running Mavericks and struggling to find this setup/config

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    Time Machine cannot complete backup to MyBookLiveDuo
    I am trying to use TimeMachine to setup a backup from a mid-2011 iMac running OSX 10.9.3 to a 4TB WD MyBook Live Duo drive on a network. I have 3 other MacBooks setup to use this shared drive using Time Machine as well as a PC using WD backup software.
    The backup from the iMac is failing with a message “The backup disk image /Volumes/TimeMachine/PM’s iMac.sparsebundle could not be accessed (error(null)).”. After looking through Pondini I change the name of the iMac from "PM’s iMac" to "Family" but the problem is not fixed.
    In fact the iMac seems to still uses the old machine name in the error message.
    In the console I see the following messages
    5/29/14 3:02:47.124 PM com.apple.backupd[220]: Failed to eject volume /Volumes/TimeMachine (FSVolumeRefNum: -106; status: -47; dissenting pid: 0)
    5/29/14 3:02:47.125 PM com.apple.backupd[220]: Waiting 60 seconds and trying again.
    5/29/14 3:03:22.547 PM spindump[427]: Saved hang report for Disk Utility version 13 (517) to /Library/Logs/DiagnosticReports/Disk Utility_2014-05-29-150322_Family-iMac.hang
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    5/29/14 3:03:53.026 PM com.apple.backupd[220]: Network destination already mounted at: /Volumes/TimeMachine
    5/29/14 3:04:49.260 PM com.apple.backupd[220]: Failed to eject volume /Volumes/TimeMachine (FSVolumeRefNum: -106; status: -47; dissenting pid: 0)
    5/29/14 3:04:49.261 PM com.apple.backupd[220]: Waiting 60 seconds and trying again.
    5/29/14 3:05:32.882 PM mds[37]: (Normal) Volume: volume:0x7fcffb89d400 ********** Bootstrapped Creating a default store:0 SpotLoc:(null) SpotVerLoc:(null) occlude:0 /Volumes/TimeMachine
    5/29/14 3:05:52.689 PM apsd[61]: Unrecognized leaf certificate
    5/29/14 3:05:55.561 PM com.apple.backupd[220]: Network destination already mounted at: /Volumes/TimeMachine
    5/29/14 3:06:44.339 PM mds[37]: (Warning) Volume: vsd:0x7fcffb82d600 Open failed.  failureCount:6 {
        DisabledRecycleCount = 6;
    5/29/14 3:06:52.608 PM com.apple.backupd[220]: Failed to eject volume /Volumes/TimeMachine (FSVolumeRefNum: -106; status: -47; dissenting pid: 0)
    5/29/14 3:06:52.609 PM com.apple.backupd[220]: Giving up after 3 retries.
    5/29/14 3:06:52.814 PM com.apple.backupd[220]: Backup failed with error 21: 21
    5/29/14 3:07:12.831 PM com.apple.backupd[220]: Failed to eject volume /Volumes/TimeMachine (FSVolumeRefNum: -106; status: -47; dissenting pid: 0)
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    Time Machine cannot complete backup to MyBookLiveDuo
    I am trying to use TimeMachine to setup a backup from a mid-2011 iMac running OSX 10.9.3 to a 4TB WD MyBook Live Duo drive on a network. I have 3 other MacBooks setup to use this shared drive using Time Machine as well as a PC using WD backup software.
    The backup from the iMac is failing with a message “The backup disk image /Volumes/TimeMachine/PM’s iMac.sparsebundle could not be accessed (error(null)).”. After looking through Pondini I change the name of the iMac from "PM’s iMac" to "Family" but the problem is not fixed.
    In fact the iMac seems to still uses the old machine name in the error message.
    In the console I see the following messages
    5/29/14 3:02:47.124 PM com.apple.backupd[220]: Failed to eject volume /Volumes/TimeMachine (FSVolumeRefNum: -106; status: -47; dissenting pid: 0)
    5/29/14 3:02:47.125 PM com.apple.backupd[220]: Waiting 60 seconds and trying again.
    5/29/14 3:03:22.547 PM spindump[427]: Saved hang report for Disk Utility version 13 (517) to /Library/Logs/DiagnosticReports/Disk Utility_2014-05-29-150322_Family-iMac.hang
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    5/29/14 3:04:49.260 PM com.apple.backupd[220]: Failed to eject volume /Volumes/TimeMachine (FSVolumeRefNum: -106; status: -47; dissenting pid: 0)
    5/29/14 3:04:49.261 PM com.apple.backupd[220]: Waiting 60 seconds and trying again.
    5/29/14 3:05:32.882 PM mds[37]: (Normal) Volume: volume:0x7fcffb89d400 ********** Bootstrapped Creating a default store:0 SpotLoc:(null) SpotVerLoc:(null) occlude:0 /Volumes/TimeMachine
    5/29/14 3:05:52.689 PM apsd[61]: Unrecognized leaf certificate
    5/29/14 3:05:55.561 PM com.apple.backupd[220]: Network destination already mounted at: /Volumes/TimeMachine
    5/29/14 3:06:44.339 PM mds[37]: (Warning) Volume: vsd:0x7fcffb82d600 Open failed.  failureCount:6 {
        DisabledRecycleCount = 6;
    5/29/14 3:06:52.608 PM com.apple.backupd[220]: Failed to eject volume /Volumes/TimeMachine (FSVolumeRefNum: -106; status: -47; dissenting pid: 0)
    5/29/14 3:06:52.609 PM com.apple.backupd[220]: Giving up after 3 retries.
    5/29/14 3:06:52.814 PM com.apple.backupd[220]: Backup failed with error 21: 21
    5/29/14 3:07:12.831 PM com.apple.backupd[220]: Failed to eject volume /Volumes/TimeMachine (FSVolumeRefNum: -106; status: -47; dissenting pid: 0)
    Ha anyone seen this problem and been able to resolve it.
    Thanks!

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