Whilst we're talking storage .... life of a hard drive?

Well I hope this is not too much of a stupid question but reading recent posts (including the one below) about storage, about external hard drives failing and how important back-ups are etc, etc, we're regularly told here and by sales people on retail floors, that you can expect to have to replace a drive every two to three years.
Now I'm thinkin' that this refers to drives being used something like 8 hours a day for 5 or 6 days a week maybe.
So if you're only using an external drive for back-up purposes only and using a method where you only turn the drive on at the end of the day just to do the back-up, probably less than an hour and then turning it off again to take home with you, can I assume that drive will last for ten years? Or is it not just the moving parts that will wear out?
I'm hoping that this is one of those things that everybody wanted to know but was afraid to ask!
Thanks in anticipation for your views
Peter L

docharris, thanks for resurrecting the study and the commentary on that paper pokes more holes in it than I ever could. The statistical analysis presented in the numerous charts is interesting but misleading form a video producer's point of view; there are only a handful of folks here who know the difference between median and mean and no one groks standard deviation.
Like other video people, I have internal and external drives that have seen hard service for more than 7 years. I used to have a couple of ancient SCSI units from Medéa (remember them?) that I bought in 1997 that were still in use as offline backup. My last SCSI card failed before the drives did. As drive surfaces have become more dense and drive mechanisms have become smaller, direct comparisons between yesterday's unimaginably huge 60 gig platters and today's common 1+tera drives becomes meaningless.
And Google's server drives do not necessarily represent our drives or the work we do on them.
bogiesan

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